This alert expired on 10 August 2026 at 22:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 5th strongest of the 68 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 10 at 5:55PM EDT until August 10 at 6:45PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
An estimated 427,905 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- July 5, 2026 · score 43 · 6.3 km
- July 27, 2026 · score 43 · 9.0 km
- March 17, 2026 · score 67 · 12.7 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 37.8984, -77.5818 |
| Nearest City | Short Pump (28 km) |
| Population Exposed | 427.9K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-08-10T21:55:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1d4c9569cc4c1b619b1350f6ef7531d5 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Amelia, VA; Brunswick, VA; Chesterfield, VA; Cumberland, VA; Dinwiddie, VA; Lunenburg, VA; Nottoway, VA; Powhatan, VA; Prince Edward, VA; Charles, MD; St. Marys, MD; King George, VA; Calvert, MD; St. Marys, MD and 10 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 10 at 5:55PM EDT until August 10 at 6:45PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA |
| Expires | 2026-08-10T18:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Wakefield VA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 13 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1d4c9569cc4c1b619b1350f6ef7531d587276f69.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0621ea4cf73eae4ac30c4f5a4c2cc655f6ad67da.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ad7f21fa3e82e380d1b463a7e0249628def5b363.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0c0ef2f21ff36be173db4c72ea0d47eb4e30c2fc.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.61a64edcf1d9d63ae608bb082346f34ee2a016ee.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5bce5eb63568efb16e2ed0a7d82f739d91c8818a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f78f9227ec546383dc6688c249b47a6876795675.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9f4b833c63e916eb6a5f204068abe33df373d912.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b8fd472a2fe16d48ae24e6ff790440ad1437b7ea.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4337187deb528e55d31716a9ed67dc35bddc91d8.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.651641f83d18b067eb2b64f0841a5c86e0558594.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1c40cb7438659ef3843b5adafada8f838c094de9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.094fb4306dd7dfb17b5ac66ef54525a6f75c6ce2.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Short Pump (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.